{"id":2437,"date":"2026-02-06T08:40:07","date_gmt":"2026-02-06T13:40:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.clarku.edu\/geospatial-analytics\/?page_id=2437"},"modified":"2026-02-06T17:06:32","modified_gmt":"2026-02-06T22:06:32","slug":"risk-and-vulnerability-data","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.clarku.edu\/geospatial-analytics\/aquaculture-data-download\/risk-and-vulnerability-data\/","title":{"rendered":"Risk and vulnerability data"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-land-cover-and-change-maps-risk-and-vulnerability-data-aquaculture-and-coastal-habitats-reports\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.clarku.edu\/geospatial-analytics\/aquaculture-data-download\/\">Land Cover and Change Maps<\/a>\u00a0 |\u00a0 \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.clarku.edu\/geospatial-analytics\/aquaculture-data-download\/risk-and-vulnerability-data\/\" id=\"https:\/\/www.clarku.edu\/geospatial-analytics\/aquaculture-data-download\/risk-and-vulnerability-data\/\">Risk and Vulnerability Data<\/a>\u00a0 |\u00a0 \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.clarku.edu\/geospatial-analytics\/aquaculture-data-download\/reports\/\" id=\"https:\/\/www.clarku.edu\/geospatial-analytics\/aquaculture-data-download\/reports\/\">Aquaculture and Coastal Habitats Reports<\/a> <\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns sidebar is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:45rem\">\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-vulnerability-of-land-conversion-to-pond-aquaculture\">Vulnerability of land conversion to pond aquaculture<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The following layers were developed by relating historical transitions to pond aquaculture to covariates such as elevation, proximity to the coast, proximity to existing pond aquaculture and situational information (such as land cover and soil type) as encapsulated in Landsat TM reflectance data from 1988-1990 for Thailand, Cambodia and Vietnam. Historical transitions were established by comparing the 2013-2015 land cover to a classification of Landsat TM data from 1988\u20101990 for mangroves, cropland, stabilized sand and sea salt production \u2013 the primary classes from which pond aquaculture is developed. The empirical modeling procedure used was the Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) Neural Network in the TerrSet software system (Clark Labs). The resulting maps express the vulnerability to transition from each of these four classes to pond aquaculture on a 0-1 scale. Technically, the numbers represent the probability of transition assuming an equal prior probability of transition or persistence. A simpler understanding is that it represents a measure of the vulnerability to transition irrespective of how prevalent the rate of transition is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/clarkcga-aquaculture.s3.amazonaws.com\/data\/v1.0\/zip\/vulnerability\/Vulnerability-Cropland-to-Pond-Aquaculture.zip\">Vulnerability Cropland to Pond Aquaculture.zip<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/clarkcga-aquaculture.s3.amazonaws.com\/data\/v1.0\/zip\/vulnerability\/Vulnerability-Mangrove-to-Pond-AquacultureV2.zip\">Vulnerability Mangrove to Pond Aquaculture.zip<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/clarkcga-aquaculture.s3.amazonaws.com\/data\/v1.0\/zip\/vulnerability\/Vulnerability-Sea-Salt-Production-to-Pond-Aquaculture.zip\">Vulnerability Sea Salt Production to Pond Aquaculture.zip<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/clarkcga-aquaculture.s3.amazonaws.com\/data\/v1.0\/zip\/vulnerability\/Vulnerability-Stabilized-Sand-to-Pond-Aquaculture.zip\">Vulnerability Stabilized Sand to Pond Aquaculture.zip<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-risk-of-land-conversion-to-pond-aquaculture-by-2050\">Risk of land conversion to pond aquaculture by 2050<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These layers express the probability of conversion to pond aquaculture by 2050 for Thailand, Cambodia and Vietnam. They are derived from the vulnerability maps (above) by means of prior correction that recognizes the expected quantity of transition given the historical rate of change. The procedure is based on the basic Markovian assumption of a constant rate of change and the rate of change determined from 1988-1990 to 2013-2015 (a 25 year span).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/clarkcga-aquaculture.s3.amazonaws.com\/data\/v1.0\/zip\/risk\/Risk-Stabilized-Sand-to-Pond-Aquaculture.zip\">Risk Stabilized Sand to Pond Aquaculture.zip<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/clarkcga-aquaculture.s3.amazonaws.com\/data\/v1.0\/zip\/risk\/Risk-Cropland-to-Pond-Aquaculture.zip\">Risk Cropland to Pond Aquaculture.zip<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/clarkcga-aquaculture.s3.amazonaws.com\/data\/v1.0\/zip\/risk\/Risk-Mangrove-to-Pond-AquacultureV2.zip\">Risk Mangrove to Pond Aquaculture.zip<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/clarkcga-aquaculture.s3.amazonaws.com\/data\/v1.0\/zip\/risk\/Risk-Sea-Salt-Production-to-Pond-Aquaculture.zip\">Risk Sea Salt Production to Pond Aquaculture.zip<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Land Cover and Change Maps\u00a0 |\u00a0 \u00a0Risk and Vulnerability Data\u00a0 |\u00a0 \u00a0Aquaculture and Coastal Habitats Reports \u00a0 Vulnerability of land conversion to pond aquaculture The following layers were developed by relating historical transitions to pond aquaculture to covariates such as elevation, proximity to the coast, proximity to existing pond aquaculture and situational information (such as [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":0,"parent":2435,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"class_list":["post-2437","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.2 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - 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