{"id":601,"date":"2025-07-31T16:05:49","date_gmt":"2025-07-31T20:05:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.clarku.edu\/data-science-program\/?p=601"},"modified":"2026-04-06T12:41:27","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T16:41:27","slug":"a-relationship-between-betting-money-lines-and-fouls-in-the-nba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.clarku.edu\/data-science\/a-relationship-between-betting-money-lines-and-fouls-in-the-nba\/","title":{"rendered":"A relationship between betting money lines and fouls in the NBA"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">Ye, a Psychology major from the Class of 2024, identified a significant correlation between money lines, win probabilities, and fouls drawn and committed, specifically for the 2023 Lakers. The study utilized a standardized delta for fouls drawn minus fouls committed on the vertical axis, and a standardized difference between the money lines\u2019 implied win probabilities and actual win probabilities (estimated through ESPN simulations) on the horizontal axis. This analysis aimed to uncover insights into how betting odds and in-game fouls are interconnected, offering implications for sports analytics and betting strategies in basketball.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ye, a Psychology major from the Class of 2024, identified a significant correlation between money lines, win probabilities, and fouls drawn and committed, specifically for the 2023 Lakers. The study utilized a standardized delta for fouls drawn minus fouls committed on the vertical axis, and a standardized difference between the money lines\u2019 implied win probabilities [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":779,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-601","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-student-projects"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.1 (Yoast SEO v28.2) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A relationship between betting money lines and fouls in the NBA | Data Science | Clark University<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.clarku.edu\/data-science\/a-relationship-between-betting-money-lines-and-fouls-in-the-nba\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A relationship between betting money lines and fouls in the NBA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ye, a Psychology major from the Class of 2024, identified a significant correlation between money lines, win probabilities, and fouls drawn and committed, specifically for the 2023 Lakers. The study utilized a standardized delta for fouls drawn minus fouls committed on the vertical axis, and a standardized difference between the money lines\u2019 implied win probabilities [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.clarku.edu\/data-science\/a-relationship-between-betting-money-lines-and-fouls-in-the-nba\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Data Science\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/ClarkUniversityWorcester\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-07-31T20:05:49+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-04-06T16:41:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.clarku.edu\/data-science\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/58\/basketball-foul.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"900\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"599\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@clarkuniversity\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@clarkuniversity\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jordan Aubin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.clarku.edu\\\/data-science\\\/a-relationship-between-betting-money-lines-and-fouls-in-the-nba\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.clarku.edu\\\/data-science\\\/a-relationship-between-betting-money-lines-and-fouls-in-the-nba\\\/\"},\"headline\":\"A relationship between betting money lines and fouls in the 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