The new phase of SYPR research (2004-06) builds towards a vulnerability analysis of the coupled human-environment system in the region. Core support is provided by NSF’s Biocomplexity Program (http://www.nsf.gov/geo/ere/ereweb/fund-biocomplex.cfm).
A second, three-year phase (2001-04) of research on the Southern
Yucatán Peninsular Region (SYPR) was funded by NASA’s LCLUC (Land-Cover
and Land-Use Change) program (base support $ 590,000;
http://lcluc.gsfc.nasa.gov/),
with annual contributions from the NSF sponsored Center for the
Integrated Study of the Human Dimensions of Global Environmental Change,
Carnegie Mellon University (http://www.hdgc.epp.cmu.edu ). This effort
was collaboration of Clark (Marsh Institute & Graduate School of
Geography), Harvard Forest (Harvard University), University of Virginia,
and ECOSUR (El Colegio de la Frontera Sur). The PIs include B. L. Turner
II, J. Geoghegan (Economics), J. R. Eastman, D. Lawrence (Ecology) and
H. Vester (Ecology).
The first phase of the SYPR project began in 1997 and concluded in
2000. It undertook an integrated land science approach to link
socioeconomic, historical, ecological, and remote sensing/GIS approaches
to uncovering the dynamics of tropical deforestation in the SYPR and to
develop and evaluate different modeling approaches that yield spatial
explicit land change explanations and projections (see
http://earth.clarku.edu/lcluc/).
Over $1 million in funded was generated to achieve this goal, and has
culminated in various publications:
OVERVIEW-COMPLETE PROJECT
• B. L. Turner II, J. Geoghegan, and D. Foster, eds. 2003. Integrated Land-Change Science and Tropical Deforestation in the Southern Yucatán: Final Frontiers. Oxford Geographical and Environmental Studies. Clarendon Press of Oxford University Press [forthcoming].
• B. L. Turner II et al. 2001. Deforestation in the Southern Yucatán Peninsular Region: An Integrative Approach. Forest Ecology and Management, Vol. 154, No. 3, pp. 343-370.
• B. L. Turner II and J. Geoghegan. nd. Land-Cover and Land-Use Change (LCLUC) in the Southern Yucatán Peninsular Region (SYPR). In People and the Environment: Approaches for Linking Household and Community Surveys to Remote Sensing and GIS. J. Fox, V. Mishar, R. Rindfus, and S. Walsh, eds. Amsterdam: Kluwer Academic Publishers [forthcoming].
MODELING
• J. Geoghegan, et al. 2001. Modeling Tropical Deforestation in the Southern Yucatán Peninsular Region: Comparing Survey and Satellite Data. Agriculture, Ecosystems, and Environment Vol. 85, Nos. 1-3, pp. 25-46.
• C. Vance and J. Geoghegan. nd. Modeling The Determinants of Semi-Subsistence and Commercialized Land-Uses in an Agricultural Frontier of Southern Mexico: A Switching Regression Approach. International Regional Science Review, forthcoming.
• D. C. Parker, S. M. Manson, et al. 2001. Multi-Agent Systems for the Simulation of Land-Use and Land-Cover Change: A Review. Bloomington, USA, Center for the Study of Institutions, Population, and Environmental Change, Indiana University. CIPEC Working Paper CW-01-05.
• C. Vance and J. Geoghegan. nd. Temporal and Spatial Modeling of Tropical Deforestation: A Survival Analysis Linking Satellite and Household Survey Data. Agricultural Economics [forthcoming].
• J. Geoghegan, L. Schneider, and C. Vance. 2003. Temporal Dynamics and Spatial Scales: Modeling Deforestation in the Southern Yucatan Peninsular Region. GeoJournal (forthcoming).
ECOLOGY
• F. J. Xuluc-Tolosa, H.F.M. Vester, N. Ramirez-Marcial, J. Castellanos-Albores, and D. Lawrence. 2002. Leaf Litter Decomposition of Tree Species in Three Successional Phases of Tropical Dry Secondary Forest. Forest Ecology and Management [forthcoming].
• L. Read, and D. Lawrence. 2002. Recovery of Biomass Following Shifting Cultivation in Dry Tropical Forests of the Yucatan. Ecological Applications [forthcoming].
• D. Lawrence and D. R. Foster. nd. Changes in forest biomass, litter dynamics and soils following shifting cultivation in southern Mexico: an overview. Interciencia [forthcoming]
SOCIAL SCIENCE/GENERAL
• P. Klepeis and B. L. Turner II. 2001. Integrated Land History and Global Change Science: The Example of the Southern Yucatán Peninsular Region Project. Land Use Policy Vol 18, No. 1, pp. 272-39.
• B. L. Turner II, P. Klepeis, and L. Schneider. 2002. Three Millennia in the Southern Yucatán Peninsular Region: Implications for Occupancy, Use, and “Carrying Capacity”. In The Lowland Maya Area: Three Millennia at the Human-Wildland Interface. A. Gómez-Pompa, M. Allen, S. Fedick & J. Jimenez-Osornio, eds. Haworth Press. New York [forthcoming].
• P. Klepeis. Nd. From Farmers to Satellites: Understanding Tropical Deforestation through Perspectives in Geography. In Understanding Environmental Challenges: A Multi-disciplinary Approach—Tropical Deforestation. S. L. Spray and K. L. McGlothin, eds. Portland, OR: Acada Books (forthcoming).
• P. Klepeis and C. Vance. nd. Neoliberal Policy and Deforestation in Southeastern Mexico: An Assessment of the PROCAMPO Program. Economic Geography (forthcoming).
SYPR Researchers [project component] in one or both phases of the project:
S. Cortina V., ECOSUR [remote sensing]
J. R. Eastman, Geography, Clark [remote sensing/GIS]
D. Foster, Harvard Forest, Harvard [forest and historical ecology]
J. Geoghegan, Economics, Clark [econometric modeling]
F. Gurri, ECOSUR [socio-demographic survey]
E. Keys, Geography, Arizona State [chili sector ]
P. Klepeis, Colgate (Ph.D. Geography, Clark) [history]
D. Lawrence, UVA (formerly researcher, Harvard Forest) [nutrient cycling]
S. McCauley (doctoral student, Geography, Clark) [GIS models]
S. Manson, Geography, U. Minnesota [agent-based model]
P. Macario M., ECOSUR [crop & forest ecology]
S. Ochoa, ECOSUR [forest ecology & remote sensing]
Y. Ogenva-Himmelberger, Marsh Institute [remote sensing]
D. Perez-Salicrup, UNAM (formerly researcher, Harvard Forest) [forest ecology]
A. B. Plotkin, Harvard Forest [aerial photography interpretation]
A. Pulsipher (doctoral student, Geography, Clark)* [vulnerability]
C. Radel (ABD, Geography Clark) [environmental empowerment & gender]
B. Savitsky, Florida St. U. (formerly Clark) [GIS]
B. Schmook (ECOSUR researcher & doctoral student, Geography, Clark) [demography]
L. Schneider (ABD, Geography Clark) [biogeography & remote sensing]
B. L. Turner II, Geography, Clark [land-use/cover change]
R. Roy Chowdhury (ABD, Geography, Clark) [institutions and remote sensing]
C. Vance, EPA (Ph.D. Economics, Clark) [econometric models]
H. Vester, ECOSUR [forest ecology]
R. Palmer (Geography, Clark) [biotic diversity]
Chris Busch (Economics, U.C. Berkeley) [chile sector]