Discussion



            Both the regression analysis and graphical analysis of the change in temperature and the level of predation’s effect on the average distance between individual fish in a school was carefully analyzed.  The results of the regression analysis indicate that there is a significant correlation between the predation level and the average distance apart between individuals.  When two points, which contained trumpet fish as the major predator, were removed from the analysis, the correlation became stronger.  This change indicates two different things.  First, it suggests that trumpet fish, because of their relatively small size (12-15 inches in length), do not provide as big a threat to the school as other larger predators, such as the tarpon and the barracuda.  Even when present in a large school roughly 30 individuals, the trumpet fish did not provide a large predation threat to the school.  The other thing that the results indicate is that the level of predation has a negative correlation with the average distance between individual fish in the school.  As the number of predators increases, the distance between the fish in the school decreases.  The distance decreases because the school is attempting to become more compact to successfully avoid predators.  In a study by Parrish of the University of Washington, the different types of predator avoidance were discussed (1).  The most common formations that the school formed to avoid predators included: the formation of a ball, a vacuole, and a herd.  The ball is a formation that is spherical and solid, and the school will remain as compact as possible.  A vacuole formation occurs when the school forms a circle around a potential predator and every member of the school keeps a certain distance from the predator.  The heard formation was less commonly seen than the other two and it involves a predator effectively herding and directing the movement of the school.  The study also showed that school formation provides many benefits and disadvantages to the individual fish.  In regards to predation, the chance that one individual will be consumed by a predator is significantly reduced in a school.  But at the same time, the large school will inevitably attract predators and some members will be consumed.  Also, by being in a school, each individual will have a longer foraging time, the amount of food available to consume is decreased because of competition.  Throughout the study in Whalebone Bay, the number of predators was quite high compared to other locations.  The tight school formations were advantageous to the silversides because it offered each fish the best chance of survival.  In the absence of predators, the fish still remained schooled, indicating that there was also an advantage to foraging as a school.     

            The regression and graphical analysis of temperature compared with the distance between fish in the school did not reveal any significant findings.  The P value obtained from the regression analysis was higher than 0.05, indicating that there is not correlation between the two variables.  The temperature of the water throughout Whalebone Bay constantly fluctuated from one area to the next.  The school did not seem to prefer any specific temperature during times of both low and high predation.  

         From the behavioral observations that were made of the schooling behavior several conclusions can be reached.  First of all, the behavior and structure of the school completely changed from day to night.  During the two night snorkel trips to Whalebone, there were no predators present and the structure of the school had completely changed.  The silversides had formed small schools of only 20-30 individuals that were either foraging or resting.  The majority of the school had left the bay to venture into deeper water to feed.  One reason for the fish to leave the bay and to venture into deeper water is that deeper water may offer more food than the bay and there is less competition.  The schools that remained in the bay during the night were very small and dispersed throughout the bay.  By sunrise the next day, all of the individuals returned to the bay and the dense school had reformed.  Clearly, the bay provides greater protection from predators than the shallow waters along the coast that are exposed to the open ocean.  

           As the week in Bermuda progressed, the size and dynamic of the school changed significantly.  During the first day of the study, the size of the school was at its largest, which was also the time when the largest predators were

present.  Several tarpon and barracuda were present during the first two days of the study, but then disappeared.  The second to last day, the school was at it smallest size and this was also the point when there were no predators present.  The last day of the study, the large barracuda returned to Whalebone Bay and the size of the school increased significantly.  From these observations, it appears that the absence of large predators allows individuals within the school to leave the bay for alternative foraging and resting areas.  These observations also indicate that the bay provides more protection from predators than other shallow water locations along the coast. 

            It is important to note that during the middle of the study period, a number of dwarf herring (Jenkinsia lamprotaenia) were present within the school of silversides.  Several hundred dwarf herring were present in Whalebone Bay for three days and then disappeared.  In a study conducted by Coblentz in the Virgin Islands, they found that the reproduction of dwarf herring is heavily dependant on the lunar cycle (6).  The study found that this is main time that they reproduce and they can found in large numbers in shallow water during the time of the full moon.  The three day period that the dwarf herring were present was also during the time of the full moon.  The study also found that during the mating period of the herring, they leave the shallow waters during the night to feed.  This also explains why during the night snorkels, the herring were no longer present in the bay.    

Towards the end of the study, large, dense mats of seaweed washed up from the ocean in Whalebone Bay.  Upon further analysis it became clear that the seaweed had both positive and negative effects of the school.  It offered the school additional protection from predators.  Small groups of the school were often found foraging and resting beneath the mats.  This allowed the groups to increase both foraging resting time.  On the other hand, several individuals got caught in the dense seaweed and died.  Roughly 10 different species of fish were found washed up dead in the seaweed.  Another alternative explanation is that as the seaweed was decomposing, it released some sort of toxin that was harmful to the fish.  

        The behavior experiment that was described in the results section, revealed that the there was some sort of threat level associated with predation.  When the predation level was high, the school was not affected by my swimming and splashing through the school.  However, when the level of predation was low, the school avoided me and a kept a constant distance away.  Because they only responded to my actions during times of low predation, it implies that the school must assess the level of predation and respond primarily to the largest threat (their natural predators).

        Along with the data and observations that were collected and analyzed, an aerial photograph was taken of school during each trip to Whalebone Bay.  The photographs were used primarily to ensure the presence and location of the school within the bay.  It was also used to roughly estimate the size of the school and density.  A rough idea of the density could be determined based on the light or dark color of the school.  Finally, the photos were used to look for specific patterns of movement on a day to day basis.  No significant movement patterns were found because the location, size, and behavior of the school fluctuated from one day to the next.  When the dense seaweed washed up in the bay, it completely changed the location of the school.


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